canonical product
Nike Vapor Fly
Hybrid
- 2
- live listings · 1 retailers
- $155–$185
- asking range
- $140
- fair, all conditions · 11 comps (past listings)
buy now or wait?BUY
The value curve is flat — waiting buys you almost nothing.
≈ $1/mo depreciation (model)waiting 3 months ≈ $2 cheaper (model)
days-on-market is measured, but organic clears are a small slice of this product's churn — weigh the velocity accordingly.
forecast: product evidence · verdict recomputed nightly
The verdict
each line cites its basis- Typical drift is −9%/yr (≈ $10 at today's value) — patience usually pays. — value model, curve fit on this product
What it has been selling for
monthly medians since 2026-02Value over time
value model, curve fit on this product · 21 obs- $82–$142
- typically sells for
- −9%/yr
- value trend
- 85%
- held over 3 yrs
median model value by product age, 80% band — about 1 in 5 sales lands outside it · rebuilt nightly
Fair price by condition
- Average5 comps · past listings
- $150
- Ungraded5 comps · past listings
- $98
Same band, for less
measured compsThe same club type, priced materially lower at fair — each fair on 5+ comps, each buyable today. Ranked by what you save, weighted by how well-measured the saving is. Nothing here is paid placement; there is none on this site.
Callaway Mavrik 2020
fair $70 · 257 comps286 live from $36
TaylorMade SLDR 2013
fair $57 · 100 comps116 live from $24
TaylorMade M2 2016
fair $70 · 158 comps189 live from $31
Callaway Rogue X 2018
fair $63 · 99 comps125 live from $43
TaylorMade M6 2019
fair $69 · 128 comps149 live from $41