canonical product

Nike Vapor Fly

Driver

13
live listings · 3 retailers
$120$264
asking range
$230
fair, all conditions · 13 comps

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The model expects a meaningful price drop within ~3 months just from depreciation.

$2/mo depreciation (model)waiting 3 months ≈ $22 cheaper (model)

days-on-market is measured, but organic clears are a small slice of this product's churn — weigh the velocity accordingly.

forecast: product evidence · verdict recomputed nightly

The verdict

each line cites its basis
  • Buy window: the cheapest live copy sits $110 under the all-condition fair bar. fair $230 · 13 comps
  • Typical drift is −12%/yr (≈ $22 at today's value) — patience usually pays. value model, curve fit on this product

What it has been selling for

monthly medians since 2026-01
$180$222$264010203072026-07 — median $253 · 21 listings · 8 observation days2026-01 — median $190 from only 1 observation day (1 listings)2026-02 — median $200 from only 1 observation day (3 listings)2026-03 — median $190 from only 1 observation day (1 listings)$253
monthly median ask · open points are sparse months (<8 observation days) drawn as facts, never interpolated — the line knits itself in as nightly snapshots accumulate

Value over time

value model, curve fit on this product · 21 obs
$141$237
typically sells for
−12%/yr
value trend
83%
held over 3 yrs
$100$200$300$400todaynew5 yr10 yr

median model value by product age, 80% band — about 1 in 5 sales lands outside it · rebuilt nightly

Fair price by condition

Average11 comps
$230
own one? check what it's worth →

Same band, for less

measured comps

The same club type, priced materially lower at fair — each fair on 5+ comps, each buyable today. Ranked by what you save, weighted by how well-measured the saving is. Nothing here is paid placement; there is none on this site.

Live listings

cheapest first · 13 live
Nike Vapor Fly used price: ~$230 fair value — canoe.golf