canonical product

Nike Vapor Fly

Iron Set · Conventional

6
live listings · 3 retailers: $424–$754
asking range: $743
fair, all conditions · 6 comps

buy now or wait?FAIR

Depreciation is moderate — no strong timing signal either way.

≈ $2/mo depreciation (model)waiting 3 months ≈ $18 cheaper (model)

days-on-market is measured, but organic clears are a small slice of this product's churn — weigh the velocity accordingly; the value curve rests on brand/category evidence, not this product's own history.

forecast: brand evidence · verdict recomputed nightly

The verdict

each line cites its basis

Buy window: the cheapest live copy sits $319 under the all-condition fair bar. — fair $743 · 6 comps
Typical drift is −5%/yr (≈ $26 at today's value) — patience usually pays. — broad model estimate

What it has been selling for

monthly medians since 2026-01

monthly median ask · open points are sparse months (<8 observation days) drawn as facts, never interpolated — the line knits itself in as nightly snapshots accumulate

Value over time

broad model estimate · 7 obs

$384–$616
typically sells for: −5%/yr
value trend: 86%
held over 3 yrs

median model value by product age, 80% band — about 1 in 5 sales lands outside it · rebuilt nightly

Fair price by condition

Average6 comps: $743

own one? check what it's worth →

Same band, for less

measured comps

Heads rated to the same Conventional playability band, priced materially lower at fair — each fair on 5+ comps, each buyable today. Ranked by what you save, weighted by how well-measured the saving is. Nothing here is paid placement; there is none on this site.