canonical product

Nike Vapor Fly

Single Iron · Conventional

7
live listings · 2 retailers
$114$163
asking range
$149
fair, all conditions · 7 comps

watch this club

Get an email when the best live price drops. No account — just an address and, if you want, a target.

buy now or wait?BUY

The value curve is flat — waiting buys you almost nothing.

$1/mo depreciation (model)waiting 3 months ≈ $4 cheaper (model)

clearance velocity is unmeasured for this product (censored/no organic signal) — the verdict leans on the forecast alone.

forecast: product evidence · verdict recomputed nightly

The verdict

each line cites its basis
  • Buy window: the cheapest live copy sits $35 under the all-condition fair bar. fair $149 · 7 comps
  • Typical drift is −7%/yr (≈ $9 at today's value) — patience usually pays. value model, curve fit on this product

What it has been selling for

monthly medians since 2026-02
$130$140$15002072026-02 — median $130 from only 2 observation days (18 listings)2026-07 — median $136 from only 7 observation days (25 listings)$136
monthly median ask · open points are sparse months (<8 observation days) drawn as facts, never interpolated — the line knits itself in as nightly snapshots accumulate

Value over time

value model, curve fit on this product · 43 obs
$101$165
typically sells for
−7%/yr
value trend
83%
held over 3 yrs
$100$200todaynew5 yr10 yr

median model value by product age, 80% band — about 1 in 5 sales lands outside it · rebuilt nightly

Fair price by condition

Average6 comps
$149
own one? check what it's worth →

Same band, for less

measured comps

Heads rated to the same Conventional playability band, priced materially lower at fair — each fair on 5+ comps, each buyable today. Ranked by what you save, weighted by how well-measured the saving is. Nothing here is paid placement; there is none on this site.

Live listings

cheapest first · 7 live
Nike Vapor Fly used price: ~$149 fair value — canoe.golf